In terms of CRWV, although buying long-dated options yesterday could yield a 10x return, the stock has been in a continuous decline for two months based on the daily chart.
If one had bought "Long Call" options every week in the past,
simulated calculations show that this person's average return would be -73.8%.
It would be better to directly buy and hold the underlying stock.
Of course, most people
only want to succeed and do not want to fail.
They only talk about success stories and do not discuss failure histories.
They can only see success and will not hear about failure.
I can understand that.
But everyone should realize based on their limited life experiences
that such people, or rather such strategies,
will ultimately only lead to failure
and not success.
Recently, the AI sector has become hot again.
The retail investors are once again full of confidence.
They are itching to act.
Last September and this April, when NVDA plummeted to 90, this same group of people doubted their lives and started shorting, but they have thrown those lessons out of their minds.
After all, the demand for AI is booming, it's an eternal bull market.
What I actually want to reiterate here is:
The fundamental logic of the stock market is not about how much money you make,
but about "what kind of person you are."
Do you want to lie low in the market for 10 or 20 years,
or do you want to be startled every day, worried about gains and losses, thinking, "I was afraid to stop-loss on the call yesterday, if I hadn't sold, I could have made 20 times today?"
What kind of person are you? This is the fundamental logic of investing.
Money is endless, especially in a bull market; you can make money just by doing nothing.
But many things require us to focus on the average return of strategies under normal distribution, rather than point returns.
Theoretically, if you can sustain yourself with the U.S. stock market, without losses, without making mistakes, and without major errors,
you should be grateful.
There are many retail investors, and this statement may not inspire everyone.
Just a self-encouragement.
Additionally: After the U.S. stock market crashes, it will recover and update.
Thank you all.
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